The COVID-19 Pandemic: What Factors can Affect BUMN-20 Stock Return in Indonesia?

Nur Afnila Audy, Harunnurrasyid Harunnurrasyid, Sri Andaiyani

Abstract


The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of the policy rate, inflation, exchange rate, and world oil prices on the stock return of 20 companies listed on the State-Owned Enterprises of Indonesia (BUMN-20) Index from July 2016 to June 2021. We divided into three periods that are all periods, before and during pandemic COVID-19. The population in this study is companies listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The sample is determined by using purposive sampling with a total amount of 20 companies and total data is 846. This study used quantitative data analysis in the form of time-series data and documenting methods in obtaining the data. The analytical tools in this study are using multiple regression analysis. The result shows that the policy rate has a significant positive effect on stock returns, inflation and exchange rate have a significant negative effect on stock returns, and world oil prices do not appear any significant effect on the stock return of the BUMN-20 Index. While before and during the COVID-19 pandemic imply only an exchange rate that has a significant and negative effect on stock return. This implies that the COVID-19 pandemic does not appear a significant effect on the performance of BUMN-20 return.

Keywords


stock returns, policy rate, inflation, exchange rate, world oil prices, BUMN-20 index

Full Text:

PDF

References


Akbar, A. B. (2019). An Analysis the Effect of Exchange Rate, Inflation and Interest on Stock Return. Journal Education and Economics, 2(4), 501–506.

Apergis, N., & Apergis, E. (2020). The Role of Covid-19 for Chinese Stock Returns: Evidence from a GARCHX Model. Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting and Economics, 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1080/16081625.2020.1816185

Asravor, R. K., & Fonu, P. D. D. (2021). Dynamic Relation Between Macroeconomic Variable, Stock Market Returns and Stock Market Development in Ghana. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 26(2), 2637-2646. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.1925

Bahrul, U. M., Didik, S., & Sa’adah, Y. (2018). The Effect of Inflation, Rupiah Exchange Rate, Bank Indonesia Sharia Certificate, World Oil Prices, and World Gold Prices Against the Prices Development of Shares in Jakarta Islamic Index. Russian Journal of Agricultural and Socio-Economic Sciences, 9(81), 132–137. https://doi.org/10.18551/rjoas.2018-09.15

Butt, B. Z., Rehman, K. U., Khan, M. A., & Safwan, N. (2010). Do Economic Factors Influence Stock Returns? A firm and Industry Level Analysis. African Journal of Business Management, 4(5), 583–593.

Didier, T., Levine, R., Llovet Montanes, R., & Schmukler, S. L. (2021). Capital Market Financing and Firm Growth. Journal of International Money and Finance, 118(11), 102459. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2021.102459

Endri, E., Rinaldi, M., Ian, D. A., Saing, B., & Aminudin, A. (2021). Oil Price and Stock Return: Evidence of Mining Companies in Indonesia. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 11(2), 110–114. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.10608

Gu, G., Zhu, W., & Wang, C. (2021). Time-Varying Influence of Interest Rates on Stock Returns: Evidence from China. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istrazivanja, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2021.1966639

Khan, M. I., Teng, J. Z., Khan, M. K., Jadoon, A. U., & Khan, M. F. (2021). The Impact of Oil Prices on Stock Market Development in Pakistan: Evidence with a Novel Dynamic Simulated ARDL approach. Resources Policy, 70(3), 101899. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101899

Lee, C. C., Lee, C. C., & Wu, Y. (2021). The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Hospitality Stock Returns in China. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2508

Madai, T. B. (2021). Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Market Returns. SSRN Electronic Journal, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3794199

Maharditya, M. A., Layyinaturrobaniyah, & Anwar, M. (2018). Implication of Macroeconomic Factors to Stock Returns of Indonesian Property and Real Estate Companies. Jurnal Dinamika Manajemen, 9(1), 100–113. https://doi.org/10.15294/jdm.v9i1.14656

Marozva, G. (2020). The Effects of Monetary Policy on Stock Market Returns and Volatility: Evidence from South Africa. Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal, 24(3), 1-11.

Nurasyikin, J., Shahnaz, I., & Manaf, S. A. (2017). Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Returns: Panel Analysis from Selected ASEAN Countries. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 7(1), 37–45.

Nurazi, R., & Usman, B. (2016). Bank Stock Returns in Responding the Contribution of Fundamental and Macroeconomic Effects. JEJAK (Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Kebijakan), 9(1), 134–149. https://doi.org/10.15294/jejak.v9i1.7191

Pham, A. V., Adrian, C., Garg, M., Phang, S. Y., & Truong, C. (2021). State-Level COVID-19 Outbreak and Stock Returns. Finance Research Letters, 43(11), 102002. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.102002

Pratiwi, S. G., Robiyanto, R., & Martono, S. (2021). Fundamental and Macroeconomic Factors on Manufacturing Companies’ Stock Returns. International Journal of Social Science and Business, 5(1), 60–68. https://doi.org/10.23887/ijssb.v5i1.29605

Robiyanto, R. (2018). The Effect of Gold Price Changes, Usd/Idr Exchange Rate Changes and Bank Indonesia (Bi) Rate on Jakarta Composite Index (Jci)’S Return and Jakarta Islamic Index (Jii)’S Return. Jurnal Manajemen Dan Kewirausahaan, 20(1), 45–52. https://doi.org/10.9744/jmk.20.1.45-52

Ross, D. (2021). Economic Methodology in 2020: Looking Forward, Looking Back. Journal of Economic Methodology, 28(1), 32-39. https://doi.org/10.1080/1350178X.2020.1868769

Subramaniam, S., & Chakraborty, M. (2021). COVID-19 Fear Index: Does it Matter for Stock Market Returns? Review of Behavioral Finance, 13(1), 40-50. https://doi.org/10.1108/RBF-08-2020-0215

Suparmono, & Partina, A. (2021). Forecasting the Inequality of Income Distribution in Consequence of the Covid-19 Pandemic. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 19(1), 27-38. doi:https://doi.org/10.29259/jep.v19i1.13187

Utama, O. Y., & Puryandani, S. (2020). The Effect of BI Rate, USD to IDR Exchange Rates, and Gold Price on Stock Returns Listed in the SRI KEHATI Index. Jurnal Dinamika Manajemen, 11(1), 39–47. https://doi.org/10.15294/jdm.v11i1.21207

Wardani, V., & Lahuddin, L. (2021). The Relationship between Current COVID-19 and Indonesia Stock Market: Evidence from ARDL Model. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 19(1), 101-110. doi:https://doi.org/10.29259/jep.v19i1.13837

Wijaya, D. P., & Sedana, I. B. P. (2020). Effects of Quick Ratio, Return on Assets and Exchange Rates on Stock Returns. American Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences Research, 4(1), 323-329.

Xu, L. (2021). Stock Return and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Canada and the US. Finance Research Letters, 38(1), 1-7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101872

Yahya, Majid, M. S. A., & Hafasnuddin. (2021). Stock Returns-Inflation Nexus in Indonesia: Evidence from Conventional and Islamic Stocks. Entrepreneurial Business and Economics Review, 9(4), 131-146. https://doi.org/10.15678/EBER.2021.090409

Yunita, & Robiyanto. (2018). The Influence of Inflation Rate, BI Rate, and Exchange Rate Changes to the Financial Sector Stock Price Index Return in the Indonesian Stock Market. Jurnal Manajemen Dan Kewirausahaan, 20(2), 80–86. https://doi.org/10.9744/jmk.20.2.80-86




DOI: https://doi.org/10.29259/jep.v20i1.17926

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.


Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Jalan Raya Palembang-Prabumulih Km. 32
Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Sriwijaya
Indralaya, Sumatera Selatan, Indonesia
Email: jep.unsri@gmail.com, Tel/Fax : (0711)580231


p-ISSN: 1829-5843, e-ISSN 2685-0788


Creative Commons License

Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan by http://ejournal.unsri.ac.id/index.php/jep 

is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.  

Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan is Indexed by:

Logo Google Scholar Unsri  Moraref One Search                

https://siapadia.riau.go.id/plugins/pulsa-limaribu/bajak scatterhttps://pmb.uts.ac.id/cbt/public/hitam/https://ftk.parahikma.ac.id/robopragma/https://learning.poltekkesjogja.ac.id/lib/pulsaceban/https://fsi.unjani.ac.id/course/scatter/kakekslotakun pro jepangkkn777https://jitel.polban.ac.id/plugins/maria/https://elijo.umpwr.ac.id/course/classes/superhoki/https://rsp.unri.ac.id/stats/demoterus/https://ijeeemi.poltekkesdepkes-sby.ac.id/styles/menangya/https://elijo.umpwr.ac.id/course/classes/idnslot/https://pmt.unwir.ac.id/dist/demoslot/https://jippm.uho.ac.id/public/site/scatterr/https://digilib.unila.ac.id/style/auto/kkn777casino onlineturbox500

https://maxplay99.cohttps://dewata138.co/https://kepri168.orghttps://ibcslot.co/https://boss69.nethttps://nugget18.comhttps://bos77slot.cohttps://queen4dwin.comhttps://asiasuperbetgacor.comhttps://indobet8slot.comhttps://mghslotgacor.comhttps://cery88gacor.comhttps://hokigaming777slot.com
slot gacor slot maxwin slot thailand slot demo togel online bandar togel dagangtoto slot gacor slot gacor slot online slot gacor scatter hitam mulia77 mulia77 slot gacor slot gacor slot gacor slot gacor slot gacor https://jdih1.sambas.go.id/assets/ https://jdih1.sambas.go.id/assets/?site=uang4d dagangtoto slot gacor scatter hitam slot gacor mulia77 slot pragmatic slot gacor mulia77 mulia77 dagangtoto rtp slot slot gacor slot gacor slot gacor maxwin slot gacor mulia77 slot maxwin slot gacor maxwin slot gacor slot terpercaya slot gacor maxwin slot pragmatic slot gacor pragmatic play slot gacor mulia77 link slot gacor skl77 slot gacor maxwin77 slot gacor slot thailand slot gacor slot thailand slot gacor terpercaya slot online slot gacor link slot gacor slot online terpercaya mulia77 slot gacor mantap21 mulia77 https://jdih.wantannas.go.id/amp/ slot gacor muliajp slot gacor slot online